RYAN DAWSON IRAN WAR: Boots or no Boots? Pam Bondi fired, Wexner sued

RYAN DAWSON IRAN WAR: Boots or no Boots? Pam Bondi fired, Wexner sued

Источник: https://www.ryandawson.org/p/ryan-dawson-iran-war-boots-or-no

Well, that's what I'm going to ask you about. Guys, appreciate you guys joining in. Appreciate you guys listening. We've got the one and only Ryan Dawson on. Ryan Dawson, as you know, is a geopolitical expert. He's been covering this for a very, very long time. He's been waiting for the opportunity to listen to this Trump speech. Ryan, thanks for joining us. How are you?

Yeah, I listen to it.

What's your thoughts on the speech of Donald J. Trump? Embarrassing.

He is either a compulsive liar or completely detached from reality or maybe both. And it's just, it was nothing new, but I'd like to see what the markets do in the morning when he's talking about, as he said before, another two or three weeks of war that he'll admit to. Oil prices are gonna go nuts. Everything almost every sentence was a lie. Almost every single thing he said wasn't true It was uncanny Presidents always lie, but they're usually a little better at it And it's not clear that he even knows that what he's saying is untrue He doesn't seem to know what's going on at all. I He can't even remember the names of other world leaders. He can't pronounce the names of places. He doesn't know anything. He talks about himself a lot. The other day, remember, he was saying he would only accept total surrender. They said they're negotiating with the new president. What new president? What are you talking about?

Yeah, and that they're capitulating to his points. They're not. And Iran has said, we're not negotiating with you. The last two times you've had negotiations, you struck us under the guise of negotiating. And that's really going to come back to bite them when they had the 60% enriched uranium on the table and then Israel preemptively hit them anyway. Because it didn't matter what they did or didn't do with their uranium, Israel was going to attack Iran because Iran is... standing in the way of israel's regional ambition of ethnic cleansing and land annexation and they're still talking about grabbing a piece of southern lebanon although it doesn't look like they're going to be able to because that's not going well there either he threatened war crimes he said we're going to simultaneously take out all your power grid we haven't hit your oil yet but we will will decimate obliviate that's his favorite word It's obliterate with an R, not a V. But he keeps saying it the wrong way.

Because he's oblivious, maybe. That's a war crime. Not that that matters. The US can commit war crimes because what's the world going to do? Nothing. Same as Israel. So I guess whatever. But as an American, you can't just threaten to collectively punish people and bomb their oil. And even if you don't have any moral qualms about how wrong that is, Well, they'll do it back. They can take out the GCC oil too and cause a permanent global problem. This isn't the same as closing a strait, opening a strait. When the war ends, things don't go back to normal. You can't just turn everything on and send the boats. If you physically destroy refineries, pipelines, storage facilities, or oil, it doesn't come back. You can rebuild refineries, but it doesn't take days. It takes years. He just doesn't know what he's talking about. And I think he's making hollow threats. This is like mobilization of the Kurds, taking over islands, escorting ships out of the strait.

And he finally backed off that position in the most insulting way. He said, well, you know, if your oil is trapped there, you go get it. Okay, those countries didn't start a war with Iran. The U.S. and Israel did. You created the closure of the Strait. That's your responsibility. And you're saying, oh, well, you know, we've done all the heavy lifting. Just go in and get your oil. He knows he can't liberate the Strait of Hormuz. okay well that's not your goal and you're telling the europeans and asians to go get their own oil and and liberate the strait themselves why are you sending all these marines on transport boats to the area what is your plan where are they going this 10 000 guys is not going to attack the mainland of iran he has no clue It's like the SNL joke they did about Pete Hagseth. He's like, they asked him what he was doing. He goes, I don't know. And if I don't know what I'm doing, Iran doesn't know what we're doing either.

And that's where they're at. They have no clue. The planners, it doesn't make any sense. These people, if you want to know how bad the planning goes, like the majority of U.S. aircraft that have been destroyed were destroyed while they were parked, not while they were in the air. because they just put them in little rows like they had at the Sultan Air Base. The Prince Sultan Air Base already lost five refuelers. They're all next to each other. They're not even in a hangar or anything. At least then you don't know whether that's empty or full or what. They're just there to see. They all got smashed. And then they continued to park in the same way, in the same place, and got hit again. That time with fighter jets. And they just don't adjust these really same thing. They keep losing tanks. They keep sending them in columns. They keep going to the same staging areas and they keep getting killed and they don't, they're not altering their tactics at all.

It doesn't, it's just mind blowing. And I just think none of them know what's going on. Everyone's afraid of admitting a mistake. Everyone is just afraid to deliver bad news. So everybody is lying to each other. Nobody's getting accurate information. And so they're unable to adapt their plans. And the same thing's going on with Trump. If you give him bad news, he'll fire you, replace you, get rid of you, or stop talking to you. So he's just surrounded by a bunch of yes-men, a bunch of pansies like Lindsey Graham, who, you know, stops his vacation to Disneyland, which he doesn't have kids and is a little weird to be going to Disney at his age, but whatever. Yeah, just to go on and bovate his... bovine excrement uh about how well things are going and praise israel just that's his the where he's getting advice people like mark levine fat uh jewish zionist slob doesn't know anything about war uh and this is where he's getting his plans and then pete hegseth thinks he's a reincarnation of a baldwin or something the crusader he's just no clue about the realities of war or whatever he's a salesman and so they're continuing to do the the Nothing's in the strategic interest, but even tactically, they're getting smacked.

Iran will adjust. Hezbollah will adjust. The Israelis and the Americans don't.

So one of the things he mentioned, I think a lot of the speech was kind of irrelevant and had kind of any, it was just a blag.

But that means- Like any Trump speech, like, you know, I'm the best builder. So many people say that. Everyone says that. It just, dude, the self-praise. Ugh.

It's unique. It's unique.

But just on that- We have the invincible military, he said. Can't be stopped. You lost to the Houthis already in your seven-week battle there.

You just said, I won and left. Exactly. So one of the things that he mentioned on there was he said the war's going to go for three weeks. So that kind of tells you that's kind of his minimum. But in addition to that, if you remember, he was talking about World War I. He said it went over a year. He mentioned World War II and he mentioned it went over five years. He mentioned the Iraq War and he said it went for eight years. He mentioned Vietnam, which went for more than a decade. So that is in his mind or was he in my view he was trying to infuse to the public wars last years so even if this last month is still not a war is that what how you read it in terms of the way he was trying to manipulate the public or do you think he

was just saying random things he just likes to compare himself to others and be like well i haven't done as long as those other people did their wars mine was shorter than theirs he's really he's such a brat And it doesn't matter. I mean, the six-day war was six days. There have been wars that were shorter. The, you know, the real active war in Iraq was a lot shorter. The occupation lasted many, many years, but not the hard war itself. Then there's Afghanistan, you know, 21 years. You want one of those? There's no purpose. If you got rid of the nuclear, you know, if the nuclear deterrent worked, which... that was never real anyway and they had always negotiated and they did allow the iea in just like saddam wild the suspecters into and he did not have wmds either but let's say okay they fooled them all and they had to pretend you know whatever supposedly you smash for dough and everything but who's that a threat to and why would they be racing to get a bomb Because you're constantly being attacked and sanctioned.

And look at Israel. It's a pariah state that has attacked all of its neighbors and annexed land and is willing to just blow people up in their bedrooms. They don't obey any laws. There is no rule of law for these psychopaths. I did love seeing a missile hit the sewage street, man. Their streets are flooded with poo and also sewage. because they already have food on the streets. They walk around, calls itself Mordecai. These people are so disgusting, man. They're taking it out on the West Bank and Gaza again, because they're getting clapped in Lebanon. Trump doesn't know what he's talking about. He's saying two or three weeks. At least he stops saying three days. He said, oh, that war will be over in three days. It's not, and it's not going to be two or three weeks either. That might be about how long the U.S. has of standoff munitions. So then he might be able to get out for that reason. But he's given up on the straight.

And the markets are going to realize, oh, you mean they're not going to reopen the straight in days? No, they're not. They can't. The whole world can't get that thing open. And we'll see what happens in the morning, how the speculators panic. It baffles me why you didn't just buy all in before the war started. You knew this. Guaranteed the oil will go through the roof. But they listen, it's like they just, they don't have any political knowledge at all. And that just, I'm like, as an investor, you'd do a lot better if you did know that the world runs on insider trading and political manipulation of markets, duh.

No doubt, no doubt. Now, one of the things people are asking the question about is, and I did name the title of this poster for this, but it is about the Houthis. The Houthis have now joined the war. The Houthis have sent missiles to Israel. When do the Houthis advance what they're doing and possibly close the Red Sea?

I think they're holding that as leverage. They've already proven they can do it and they can do it solo because they've done it before. And so that is something, now that they're active in firing missiles at Israel, which is beautiful, everyone worries about it. What if they close the Red Sea? That's 12% of maritime traffic period, not just oil and gas, like all goods, 12%. And some of the oil and gas that used to go through the Strait of Hormuz has been diverted about seven million barrels a day to the Red Sea, that also ends. So you're really only looking at about a 13% closure right now, not 20. But it'll jump up to 32% if they close the Red Sea. And that's just... Go fill up your car now. Go fill up your car tonight. If you live in America, go ahead and get gas right now. Maybe bring some of those red boxes, fill them up because it's getting ready to get so much worse. And they don't know whether or not they'll close the street.

I mean, you could still go all the way around Africa, I suppose, for some goods and services, but you won't be able to get oil from Saudi Arabia. It'll have to send it up through the Suez if it can, but they can block that side of the Red Sea as well. So if they hit both sides, before, They closed it near Aden, but if they close it near Egypt as well, then all of that's trapped, and it's also all trapped on the other side in the Strait of Hormuz. Man. the world pressure is gonna come down and say, look what you've done. You stepped in it. Israel started this war. US like this little lap dog is doing the fighting and dying mostly and it's, you know, footing the bill. The Gulf states are shaking it out on the chin and everybody's angry. This doesn't benefit anybody except maybe Russia, you know, the oil sellers, maybe Norway or something, but it doesn't, it's not helpful to any of these US allies whatsoever.

Yeah, they can't even explain why. They're still trying to say, well, they were on the verge of making a bomb, and so we had to go in and stop it. And it's like a contradiction stick because they also said that they did stop it, and yet they have to go stop it again. Which one is it? Oh, well, they were making enough ballistic missiles so we wouldn't be able to stop it should they start it. So you're saying they hadn't started one yet? Like they've just thrown out every possible lie. I hope you'll believe one of them. Yeah, they were making ballistic missiles, but that's not why. They were making those as a deterrent to what's going on now. You're invading for no reason. or for very poor reasons. Your reason is to block them from being a military rival to Israel's regional hegemony. They don't want any military economic rival to stand in the way for greater Israel. They plotted it out. They put them all on a list.

They've been going after one nation after the next and getting America to do it. America invaded Iraq twice. America's hitting Iran. America sponsored Al-Qaeda in Syria along with GCC. That was the U.S. And it was America and Europe invaded Libya. Israel didn't have to lose soldiers to do these things. But it's Israel's plan. It was Israel's lies. It was Jewish neocons in the Office of Special Plans that ginned up the war with Iraq. And everyone ought to know this by now. I wish they knew it as it was happening, but there was no free speech back then. There was no real alternatives on the internet in a way to get the word out. We had like antiwar.com, but you'd have to go to it yourself and know it exists. We didn't really have social media back then. And the social media that came about, like Facebook and stuff, quickly got threatened with Section 230, like we're going to make you liable for everything, and it forced them to ban everybody.

So the government came in and did that. And you see it, too, I mean, with Parler having its servers yanked by Amazon and getting kicked off of Google and Apple, and then you saw, you know, they just forced TikTok to sell, and then it got gobbled up by Zionists, by ZOM, Zionist Occupation Media. You see it with the advertising boycott on Twitter when Elon tried to do a semblance of free speech when he first bought the companies, had to roll that way back the other direction. This is what they do. the ways around it like i'm surprised you're on youtube knock on wood because that could go at any time um i think subsac's the do all like subsac now can do video podcast article everything that's the place rumble has video it doesn't have the rest of it you know each thing has a some element But there's even a Twitter-like portion with notes on Substack. I encourage everybody to get over there and get active.

Start making accounts. You don't have to do it to make money. You can do it the same way you do Twitter. Just get on there and learn stuff and interact with people. It's a much more adult place and it doesn't have bots. So that's my Mick Foley plug for Substack. But it has made a difference. Having the ability to do what we're doing now and tell people the truth, even though I've been banging my head against the wall for about 27 years saying these things, it people are learning you are seeing the public sentiment toward israel is just in the toilet even in the united states and that's where the parasite puts most of its energy and they're losing america they've lost the left they've most they've lost most of the right they've got some dispensationalist christian boomers left uh who are literally dying off so they're gonna lose their grip and it's because once someone's seen the truth once That's all it takes.

You can't put the genie back in the body. It resonates and makes sense. You have to repeat lies over and over and over again, but you only have to hear the truth one time.

yeah yeah no doubt about it um now in terms of youtube i agree with you this is why we've created like a second channel just in case something goes down but yeah you should yeah yeah it's a it's a huge risk and this is the problem you saw on x they took out was down from the purple banner for three days they brought us back apparently today just not today it was just the last hour or so so clearly i don't know if they were planning something but it was a bit weird that it went down just us for three days

I started my own space and did update because I was like, why is no one doing spaces right now? Because all the banners were gone. Of course, no one saw my banner either because I didn't have one either. The one time I did it in space is when they took the banners down. How about that? What a coincidence.

Crazy. But now coming back to it. So you're saying the Houthis will only join the war as an escalatory manner if there's a ground inversion. Is that what you're saying?

Well, no, they're in the war. I don't think they'll close up the Red Sea unless there's boots on the ground. It's always been tit for tat. If you just sort of a pattern they do, like if you do this, we do that. And they've been super measured. And nobody wants the Red Sea closed. Nobody in the world wants this. They can easily do it. you know he could say we sank all the navy it's not true and it's land batteries that are the problem anyway and you don't know where they are and you have no means to get them

Do you think that Iran has been too measured? Because I've been thinking about this a lot. I felt like they'd all made all the perfect moves. But after I took my plane ride back from the United States, I start feeling like, you know what? They need to be a bit more aggressive. They need to be a bit more harsher. Maybe they need to give something like... For example, you give the UAE three days warning. You say, look... You need to remove all support, you need to remove the bases, or in three days we take everything out. Do you think that there should be, and by everything I mean the energy infrastructure and the desalination plans, and then what happens is either they accept or they get that destruction and then the other GCC countries fall in line, or do you think that they, and that's my view now, I think that they need to be a lot more aggressive, a lot more cutthroat, but what's your thoughts on the way they should conduct this work?

Better to be measured than to be over-aggressive. Like, if you're going to err on one side or the other, you can always go up the ladder. It's very hard to go down the ladder once you've gone up. And I think, philosophically, Iran just doesn't believe in the collective punishment, like blowing up desalination plants, even though you know they could stomach that if it was done back to them it doesn't really you're just hurting population and getting lots of people to hate you who who may have like sort of understood yeah we attacked you we have u.s base they get it but if you start blowing up things that affect civilians then you're turning all those people against you who you have to live with later eventually and uh It's not it's something to only do if it's done to you. It's like, well, we got to have a deterrent. So we don't do it when you do it to us. You keep doing it to us. It's the fact that, like, we aren't going to start this.

But if you do it, we do it. I know it'd be satisfying to watch the UAE collapse and everything and everybody would leave. But you can't act like Israel.

You can't do that. I guess the reason from my perspective is this. Who cares about people's feelings? People's feelings were against Israel, and yet they committed what they did in Gaza. People's feelings were against Israel, and they've just stolen Gaza.

They is the state apparatus there, not just regular. Let's say that somehow there's ability to do that in the United States. There isn't. But a lot of people in America don't want this war and don't like have no part in it and have no control over their government either. True. They don't need their tap water turned off. You know what I mean? It's that it doesn't really help you battlefield wise. And it just makes them go, well, I guess, you know, well, it makes more hatred for you.

Well, I think the UAE is a unique thing in the sense of the people who live there aren't actually from there. They're all foreigners. They have left, though. Sorry.

a lot of those people aren't there like the uae has sort of depopulated anyway yeah most of it because you're right well those well maybe not at least in abu dhabi and dubai those are total tourist cities yeah they're like orlando or something and so when this went down uh those are basically ghost towns i mean it's got a lot of crypto bros and only fan horrors have left um Yeah, why not? There's a war. Get out of there. They don't want you there. You're just like a liability to them.

Yeah.

So, yeah, those have been hit. They're losing billions of dollars in revenue from tourism and the airport harassment. The airport's being harassed because it doubles as commercial as well as military can use it. So, same thing with Ben-Gurion. Those are all fair play. Hit that too bad. You know, doesn't matter. But going after... energy sectors and water and things like that. Um, I think do that to Israel cause they already did it to Gaza. They did like Israel, you know, they'll do it as soon as they can.

Yeah.

They'll go fair play. But do you need to do that to Qatar? Uh, you, I mean, it's easy to do whenever you need to do it, but right now there's no reason to escalate. Like you're already winning and they're not even attempting to do it to you, except for that one strike at the parse gas fields, which was, retaliated by hitting one in israel and one in kuwait so yeah you know okay fair

enough uh obviously i disagree but i don't want to like because my whole point is

this that you need i mean i'm not like i'm like i wouldn't i'm kind of indifferent like if they did do it i'd be like well you know i'm kind of i was on your position

until a few days ago and my concern is this when i listen to iranians i can tell that if this ends up going on too long There could be a situation where there is this kind of population who kind of just starts getting annoyed with what's going on, the suffering, the pain of going through war. And you have to remember that you have to always take those people into consideration that sometimes letting things go for too long. can get the population to turn against you. Already I can hear murmurings of little bits of frustration. And so this way, what it is, is in my view, the GCC, you're removing them from the equation, you take off a very strong ability of the United States of America to attack you. But yeah, that's fine. I get your position as well. And it was the position I held.

It's just you have other targets that like airfields and ports and things can hit you back and radars that you got to take all that stuff out first. And then you can start playing around like they hit the sewage today. Like you can do that, but you definitely want to take out the... the radar and the airfields and things where they're launching attacks on you and defending attacks from you you take those things out first you take out staging areas you know things military targets i mean they're much more valuable yeah uh and that's that what gets your people killed if you don't take them out it doesn't matter whether people drink water or not that doesn't hurt you like you said that's kind of lower on the list of your target package

yeah now taking the conversation back to iran what we've seen is what you predicted in the last uh show we did a few days ago or maybe four or five days ago and one of the things you said was that over the next few days expect extreme violence from the united states of america they're going to be bombing a lot they're going to be trying almost shoot their load in terms of the aggressive manner in which they attack tehran and what we've seen is over the last few days that's exactly what's been happening a huge amount of explosions a huge amount of attacks we've seen some explosions that seem to suggest that some missile holding places have been hit as well some bunkers what's your thoughts on the attacks that have occurred over the last few days on iran

Yeah, they might have gotten some ballistic missiles, or they may have been using MOABs. It's hard to tell from Fireball on a little video on Twitter, for me at least. But we'll see. It's what I thought they'd do. And they love doing it at night, impressive, big, fire, haha. But it hasn't really, we just saw the largest number of missiles in Israel today. So it didn't diminish their capacity to strike whatsoever. And as I said in the very opening of the war, the way the GCC like hyperactively fires defensive missiles. It got so bad they had to bring Ukrainian crews in to replace these Gulf Arabs. I swear, I think they just stuck it on autopilot. And they were firing like six, seven pack threes for a decoy. And then brag about it. Look, we shot down 90%. Like, this aren't even as a decoys, you moron. You just blew through years worth of ammunition in a matter of days. And like, whoa, cool it.

Two to one is enough. adding more doesn't up your odds you know morons so it was really good for them to use a lot of drones and decoys on the GCC nations because depletion of defense munitions is depletion of defense munitions they can't then divert those to Israel because they're gone once you use them And those are gone, and radar's gone. And we'll see how much the US has left of standoff munitions. They even started using ATACAMs. I thought, wow, are you really gonna do that already? Yep, they did. Tomahawks, glide bombs, and so on. And they do have another month or so, depending on the pacing. Two or three weeks, yeah, maybe. Depends on how condensed it is. And then they're out of those. Now and then what? Iran is there for survival. They're not going to give you total surrender whatsoever. They still have their ballistic missiles, and they're still going to fire them at you. It doesn't matter how many buildings you blow up on the surface.

They put a lot of the vital things they need to operate as a military underground, under mountains. And it's like, come at bro, as the old meme goes, because what are you going to do If you wanted to sack Tyran, of course you wouldn't go across the Zagris Mountains. You'd come in through Azerbaijan, at least according to war games. But even that is not a great option. It's just better than going from west to east. They can't get in there, and 10,000 guys, what are you gonna take, an island, and then what? How do you resupply? It's been exhausted how stupid this idea is. But I think they're just saying something, why would you announce your plan? You're at a war, just do it. They're saying, we're gonna have this, we're gonna have the 82nd Airborne and the 31st, because they're trying to cool down the markets. And the more you lie about that, the less they believe you. And then it gets to the point where even if you do tell the truth, no one believes it and it's out of control.

And we're reaching that. We're very close. I mean, it may have just happened. The markets are closed right now. It's nighttime in the United States. In the morning, they heard two or three weeks more of war and closed straight. Guess what people are going to be buying? Yeah. Got to drive the price up. And in some of these places, maybe not in the United States, maybe in certain areas, but you're going to see gas lines in Europe and Asia. It's already started to happen, I suppose, in a few areas, Vietnam, Philippines, and Cuba's a different situation. Not so sad what's going on there, but you're gonna see like 1970s style gas shortages. And food prices are going up because when trucking goes up, everything that's transported goes up. It's that kind of hidden tax. And food prices in the Gulf countries, when they can't import food, which 80% came from imports, sometimes 90% in places like Bahrain and UAE.

Unless you are an Uber witch, you're not gonna be able to afford that either. And so obviously they just leave if they can. They're not so poor, they can't move somewhere else and they go to Oman and they fly off and they go wherever. uh but yeah these places are gonna get emptied out and it's all because it's effective oil you don't even have to bomb them you can just strangle them you don't have to blow the energy up you just prevent it from being transported is enough but they could blow it up if they want to say oh you don't want to be rebuilding after this war ends Okay, we'll tag it. And they gave Kuwait a nice bloody nose. They said, okay. And Haifa, too, they set that refinery on fire. Well, that was Hezbollah, not Iran, but still. It burned, and it took them a day and a half to put that fire out, and they're just going to tag it again. Israel's bitten off more than it can chew, and this is going to result in the end of political Zionism.

That pariah state will not survive this war. They don't have a way of winning this war short of the N-word. In which case, if Ted Postal is correct, and I think we went over this already on your show on Twitter, Iran might have a dozen little nukes themselves, and it would only take one to wipe out 70% of the Israeli population. We don't need to go down that path. No one should be talking about nuclear weapons. These are two nuclear-powered states attacking a non-nuclear-powered state at a war of preemption. That is their fourth attempt. They're super measured on the first three. We shouldn't be in this situation. And I want the whole world to see that Israel created another war, the Middle East, against their enemies. And these are the results. And when you're standing there waiting or you're sitting in your car waiting to get gas that you can't afford, remember Israel did this. And when you're running out of food and you live in Abu Dhabi or whatever, why is this happening?

Because you sided with Satan. That's why Israel did this.

No doubt. No doubt. Now, one of the questions people are saying is in terms of if you look at the attacks that have been done, the United States of America are claiming that they've hit missile production factories. What's your understanding of those? And if you can explain to the audience how Iran produces a lot of these missiles or the missile production factories or processes happen underground.

You would have hit those on the first day if you knew where they were. Would you suddenly get some intelligence to go, oh, there's the missile factory right there. They knew to produce underground, which they started that process back in 2005. General Jafar implemented the mosaic strategy, 31 autonomous zones. And they know, well, it doesn't really help you to put missiles underground and fire them from there, but leave your factories on the surface so you can't replenish them. They put everything down below. because they anticipated they've been preparing for this since 2005. They watched what happened to Saddam Hussein. They know that America has a proficient Air Force. Israeli Air Force, not that bad either, because it's all American gear and training anyway. And if you leave anything on the surface, they will figure out where it is and they will blow it up. They've got enough long range munitions to do that, even if you have the best air defense in the world.

Guess what? The best air offense beats the best air defense, but at a very extremely expensive cost that really only America can stomach. And then it's very hard to replenish. There's just an X amount. It's very slow to make. And that's when you get to that point, then the air defense starts to win because you can outpace them. They can only burn through what they've already made in previous years, and they can't keep up that pace. And that's why, I mean, Iran's strategy of our air defense is the mountain, and our air offense is, you know, good but not the best ballistic missiles that you can easily replenish and tag them all day combined with drones, decoys, and These Persian engineers, man, they've made some tricky stuff. This could be greater Persia rather than greater Israel. Might just redraw the map that way. They could just stick a toll booth on the Strait of Hormuz, deplete the Gulf countries of their refineries and things.

So you're gonna have to buy from Iran. That's the future. The U.S. doesn't have a way. He's thinking, we'll bomb the S out of them, and then what? What are you going to do in three weeks when things are exactly as they are now, although way more expensive? Are you still going to demand total surrender, or are you going to try to negotiate? They don't even want to talk to you. You need to stop bombing them and remove your presence from the Gulf. That's the only way it ends for the GCC. And then it's Iran, Hezbollah, and the Houthis versus Israel. And that's the dream. And it's coming true.

Exactly. Great point. Now, in terms of coming back to, we've covered Houthis, we've covered Iran.

I want to see Palestinians going back to their old houses as the settlers have been forced to leave.

That'd be the dream.

Like, oh, if I didn't do it, someone else, oh, wait, someone else did. This is mine anyway. Yeah, perfect. Exactly.

Now, let's talk about Hezbollah, something you've been covering for a very long time. We have a situation where there's a few things I need to ask you about. But first of all, again, I'm seeing a large number of Merkava tanks that have been taken out from the Israeli advances into Lebanon. We're seeing the same thing happening from the east. If you can let the audience know what's happening from the warfare perspective between the two nations.

So I would say Israel is winning the air war, blowing up apartments in Beirut and things. They can do that. And they are losing the ground war in a pathetic way, too. It's like they didn't watch the Ukraine-Russia conflict. This isn't World War II. This isn't even Iraq War II. You can't operate in that way anymore because of drones. You can't gather big gatherings of men together They're going to get tagged. But they're doing it anyway, and they're getting tagged, which I don't mind. Yeah, you keep doing the same stupid stuff. I think Israel was so reliant on high-tech warfare, on telecommunications and being able to spot where people are and what they're saying. And Hezbollah learned, get rid of cell phones, get rid of all that, go disappear in the hills. And they did learn. They learned from the Syria conflict, fighting the best terrorists in the world against ISIS.

Mm-hmm.

And remember, the Chechens were on al-Qaeda's side briefly. They have since flipped roles, but they fought them too. So they knew. They've got the experience. They have SAA fighters and officers, advisors and things, as well as weaponry from Syria.

Yeah.

and they're doing hit and run they're doing ambushes they're luring them in they know the israeli tactics they know how they operate they seem to have spies on the ground too um because they had one that operated an air defense system that told them all the weaknesses and everything for money but not a lot of money either they turned they don't have any loyalty at all none of these people in israel are from israel anyway And so the Israelis are going in with packs of guys, and every time they get a stage in the area, it gets harassed by drones or rockets. And the fact that rockets can land on them means they're out of radar. And this is like in northern Israel. They're not even in Lebanon yet. They're getting harassed by rockets. When they do go into Lebanon, they disappear. It's like they'll let them in to a point. So let them go north to a point, and then they go behind them and ambush this part of the line.

So this part that already went in is now trapped. It can't even retreat. And they've done it over and over again. Or what they'll do is they'll disable a tank, but not blow it up, knowing the Israelis will go send another tank in to go tow it out. And they'll send a second tank, you know, they're as the ones being towed is there for offense. And they'll get all three tanks. And they did the same thing with air vac, with helicopters. Instead of shooting it out of the sky, they let it land, they let it load, and then they hit it. And Israel's lying about its casualties. I mean, they're having to admit, I think they admitted about 5,000 wounded. But they're not broadcasting their Ls, of course. They are dying up there. You don't have that many tanks. Like, about 100 have been... at least disabled. And at least 40 of that 100 have been completely destroyed. That means their crews are dead too.

It's not like only the tanks blew up and then they escaped and they ran on foot all the way back to Israel. No, they're dead or captured. That's the only two possibilities.

Yeah, exactly. Now, one of the reports I read yesterday, and actually to agree with what you're saying, not only them, but they also are battle-hardened against these Central Asians, against these Uyghurs, all these paid mercenaries as well, in addition to what you said, as you know. But in addition to that, the question I've got for you is there was a report yesterday, I believe, by Craig Murray. who, as you know, was the ambassador to one of the Central Asian countries. He basically said that Jolani, Ahmad al-Sharaa, is allowing Hezbollah fighters into Lebanon through his country. Before we spoke about this and we said this wasn't happening in the sense of we were... He's allowing Israeli fighters into Lebanon. Yeah, sorry, he was allowing IDF fighters in. What's your understanding of this? Yeah,

that happened the first day because the first day what they tried to do is they were going up to approach the blue line from the south. Some of them went up through the Stolen Heights and even north of that and then tried to go into Lebanon from east to west and still got rebelled. they saw it come they got eyes on the ground um and i'm pretty sure they have russian or chinese intelligence supporting them or both because they seem to know where they are any big movements and they knew they would do this they're like this is why you annexed a piece of southern syria you stole mount herman uh and they knew well now we've got to stretch our line out we can't just defend the southern border because they can come in from any point on the east from syria but they know those routes very well because that's where they used to smuggle in their own weapons from iran and syria and iraq to themselves they know those entry points and the thing about these mercenary terrorists in syria is You give them a little money and they change sides.

They grease some palms. They don't care. They don't like the Israelis either. They just get completely addicted to their cell phones and stuff. I got a bounce. I got a press TV call just now. I did promise.

Yeah, no problem. No problem. I appreciate you coming on, Ryan. Thank you so much. I'll tell everybody about to find you. Thanks. Thank you. Appreciate it. That was Ryan Dawson, guys. Make sure you give him a follow. What do you call it again? His handle is on here, which is Ryan Dawson. What is it? Ryan Liberty, sorry. So make sure you give him a follow on that. In addition to that, give him a follow on Substack, which is on his website, which is RyanDawson.org. We appreciate him coming on. Thank you for that conversation.